Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.525454 0.606329 0.694524 0.797712 0.914996 1.044018 1.196570
2025-07-27 0.400173 0.513244 0.648794 0.822622 1.038929 1.298487 1.632750
2025-08-03 0.323396 0.448657 0.609676 0.830447 1.123683 1.497994 2.009925
2025-08-10 0.268001 0.396969 0.572631 0.827083 1.183481 1.661683 2.347963
2025-08-17 0.225070 0.353292 0.537074 0.816395 1.226073 1.799888 2.658025
2025-08-24 0.192337 0.318277 0.507320 0.807334 1.265847 1.933020 2.967720
2025-08-31 0.162202 0.282166 0.470250 0.781078 1.274668 2.018665 3.211788
2025-09-07 0.151744 0.275654 0.477358 0.822483 1.388742 2.268209 3.719034
2025-09-14 0.130857 0.248533 0.447600 0.800492 1.398994 2.357029 3.983004
2025-09-21 0.113337 0.224678 0.420096 0.778411 1.405500 2.438306 4.238615
2025-09-28 0.099232 0.204962 0.397181 0.761125 1.417274 2.527329 4.511374
2025-10-05 0.091927 0.197040 0.394282 0.778613 1.490106 2.722781 4.975331
2025-10-12 0.087813 0.195085 0.402603 0.818253 1.607423 3.005999 5.615963
2025-10-19 0.082157 0.189277 0.402993 0.843105 1.700198 3.253943 6.214844
2025-10-26 0.075288 0.179916 0.395216 0.851058 1.761476 3.449351 6.733107
2025-11-02 0.068116 0.168828 0.382540 0.847612 1.799869 3.604673 7.187798
2025-11-09 0.061122 0.157107 0.367105 0.836678 1.822025 3.730425 7.595156
2025-11-16 0.055085 0.146718 0.353249 0.827407 1.846248 3.861106 8.019948
2025-11-23 0.048432 0.133835 0.332329 0.800544 1.831327 3.913632 8.295826
2025-11-30 0.047307 0.134573 0.342336 0.842906 1.965942 4.272400 9.199751
2025-12-07 0.042041 0.123883 0.324509 0.820407 1.958577 4.342939 9.529158
2025-12-14 0.037366 0.114030 0.307469 0.797815 1.948680 4.406901 9.848477
2025-12-21 0.033477 0.105713 0.293175 0.780129 1.947974 4.489533 10.211264